Friday, September 18, 2009

Mildly Interested?

Midshipman, last years Breeders Cup Juvenile Champ, finally makes his 3 year old debut at Belmont Park today. According to NYRA, the debut is "eagerly anticipated". I don't know if "eagerly anticipated" is how I feel.

I am more "mildly interested" to see how Midshipman does after the long, long layoff.

I will make sure to read the results online tonight; or if I forget peruse the Belmont Results in the paper tomorrow morning or maybe even check out the race on my OTB simulcast channel if I remember this afternoon, but no, I am not eagerly anticipating today's 3rd race at Belmont.

And at 3-1 morning line odds, he won't get my money and I would recommend playing one of the 5 others at more attractive odds.

1 comment:

Mark Ripple said...

Midshipman will be bet down to at least 8-5, leaving him an underlay.

(God Bless the betting public.)

That leaves Storm Play, who will probably go off at fair odds, and Just Ben who should see his odds float north to at least 5-2, probably 3-1.

As you said, the race is obviously a "pass", Midshipman will more than likely win, but I suppose you could find some small value in betting Just Ben to place or show.

Mark Ripple
Author
Handicapping the Wall Street Way