I've always been puzzled by the Giveaway Days at Saratoga. The Giveaway
Days are the most attended Days of the meet, but not really. The problem is the
track is reporting "spinners", those that pay multiple admissions to get multiple
tickets for extra giveaways.
It's amazing to watch many of these people, walk in, pay
multiple admissions, get in line for the giveaways and walk out of the track by
1:00 pm even before the first race goes off.
How many actual people were there? Or more importantly what
is the effect on handle.
I use the Rule of 3. Expect no more than a third of the spinner
reported attendance to actually place a bet on a giveaway day.
The reported Giveaway attendance yesterday was 50,727 with an on track handle
of $3,071,438. That amounts to per person wager amount of only $60.54.
Compare this to the prior Sunday, where there was no
giveaway item. The attendance was a modest 18,425 however the handle was $3,021,079. This is
only $50,000 less than the giveaway Sunday handle yet there was
32,302 less bodies at the track that day. The per person wager amount was a healthy $167.83.
Using the Rule of 3 for Giveaway Days the formula works out
like this
Attendance (50,727) divided by 3 = 16,909 people
who actually attend the track on a giveaway day AND actually place a bet.