Tuesday, October 21, 2008

The Great Unknown

The post positions are now out and Curlin will be in Post 9 in an 11 horse Breeders Cup Classic field. He is a 7-5 morning line favorite.

So now, how do you bet this race? I am completely confused by this Pro-ride synthetic surface and really don't know how to handicap the field. I just get this feeling I am not alone and wonder how much this will affect handle overall. Certainly if handle is down the economy will be blamed, but I wonder if the lack of familiarity with synthetics will be more significant. It appears even Steve Asmussen, trainer of Curlin as quoted in the Daily Racing Form is still uneasy about this surface.

"It's a huge variable," said Asmussen, who acknowledged Curlin's dirt speed figures are superior to those of his rivals.

"If he can transfer that to a third surface, the sheets do look that way," Asmussen said. "He's been very fast his whole career. The concern is being able to transfer those numbers to a third surface."

REMINDER: For those looking to bet on good ol' dirt and turf surfaces, try your luck at the Belmont Pick 6 Million Dollar Carryover on Wednesday.

1 comment:

John said...

I think Asmussen is a tad nervous about this surface