Friday, June 06, 2008

Belmont Stakes Picks

I will be at the Belmont Stakes all day tomorrow so here are my picks a day early.
Something may happen between now and when I approach the betting windows on Saturday around 6:25 pm but notwithstanding that here is how i see it.

I believe Big Brown is a worthy Triple Crown type horse and I don't see anyone else in the field in his class. I do believe Casino Drive is a very interesting horse with great breeding, but he has only run twice. I worry about his race maturity and whether he has the great turn of foot that great horses need. He won both of his races, but looks very green at this point. Other than Casino Drive possibly being in Big Brown's class none of the rest of the field is. That does not mean they can't win on any given day, including Belmont Stakes day. This is horse racing and great horses do lose. Big Brown can feel less than 100% and come in 2nd or even off the board. That is why this sport is so interesting and tough to handicap.

I will bet a bunch of collectible $2 win tickets on Big Brown to win and then bet the following:

1. Big Brown
2. Denis of Cork
3. Casino Drive
4. Tale of Ekati

Just in case BB bombs out I will play a safety 4 horse tri box of Denis of Cork, Casino Drive, Tale of Ekati, Ready's Echo (I have changed my mind on this horse and think he can get a piece late and might hit the board).

Hope to see you all at the track, enjoy the day, take it all in and may all your tickets be winners!

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