Virtually every rule about how to handicap a race would steer you away from every picking Mine That Bird.
Here is what you are supposed to look at when picking a Derby winner on the left and what Mine That Bird actually had on the Right:
High Beyer Figure: Mine That Bird’s highest Beyer Figure was an 81
Grade 1 Wins: None
Grade 2 Wins: None
Low Dosage Index: Mine That Bird’s was 5.40-the highest in the field
Wins as a 3 year old: None
Wins on Dirt: None
A Synthetic runner: 6 of 8 starts on Synthetics
Maybe sometimes it is just as simple as getting the perfect trip. Sometimes you throw all the numbers out and hope your horse gets the right trip around the oval.