Friday, May 17, 2013

NBC enters the gate for the Preakness

Orb is not the only winner in the Triple Crown Chase this year as NBC Sports had nice ratings for the Kentucky Derby.

Since than I have seen plenty of commercials on both the NBC and NBC Sports Network plugging the Preakness Stakes. NBC is also live streaming  the Preakness day on all media platforms (mobile, tablets, etc) on  their website.

It will be interesting to see if the Michele Beadle Bashing continues across Twitter. We all have complaints with different Sports commentators, play by play guys, commentators and the like but this particular woman appears to annoy some more than would seem appropriate. I first saw the term Beadle Bashing over at Pull the Pocket's blog and I like his take on the matter.

On Derby Day I was at a house party where you couldn't hear the TV Volume anyway so I can't comment on Beadles work. From the media critics columns I read, she did fine in the job she was employed too do. Where I come from, getting hired to do a job and than doing that job as assigned is a good thing.

Do you really want Beadle to start giving you exotic betting tips. It was not like Beadle was the solo host. If you wanted analysis listen to Randy Moss, Jerry Bailey, and others. If you want straight analysis, can't you just tune over to TVG, HRTV, your local OTB cablecast channel, or even just watch the live stream of your betting account or your Horse people full Twitter feed where analysis is 24/7 (and than some)? I don't see where hiring Beadle led to the letting go of any hard core racing analyst on the telecast (it didn't).

 Rather than lie down and take it, Beadle on her Twitter account gave it right back, probably much to the delight of her both her 750,000 plus followers and NBC executives.


Friday, May 03, 2013

A couple Kentucky Derby Plays




Everybody has their methods; here are two suggested bet methods for the 2013 Kentucky Derby:

1. 
15-1 Four Horse Trifecta Box

In a race where you can argue any of 10 horses can win it, why not bet a 15-1 morning line horse than a 7-1 horse. A 4 horse 50 cents Trifecta Box will cost you a mere 12 bucks.
Here are Four 15-1 horses that could easily come in:

 Overanalyze
 Itsmyluckyday
 Java's War
 Vyjack

2.
 Overlay Exacta:

Both Golden Soul and Frac Daddy are better than their 50-1 odds. Golden Soul will have no problem with the distance. Frac Daddy looks like he will like a heavier, slower track, watch the weather.

Wherever you go tomorrow, have fun with it and have a great Derby Day!

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

TV Racing-watching another way



Interesting read over at the Pull the Pocket blog titled "Racing on Television: Why doesn't it work better"

The author gives valid reasons as to limited ratings on Kentucky Derby Prep televised races. He surmises that getting over 1 million people to tune into a Derby prep on television where they don't know the horses, the protagonists change, and they can't even gamble on a gambling outcome, in a  gambling sport, seems to be a fundamental barrier to success.

I also would add two more reasons to the limited ratings:

1. Watching sports via traditional cable subscription (some of the Derby Prep races were on the cable only NBC Sports Network) is down overall as US Households are learning to cut the cord and watch sports via other mediums. The # of US Households that have cut out cable TV from their homes is up 3 million since 2007. Also watching sports via the internet, Smartphone or simply "following" the event via a Twitter feed is more interesting to some, particularly those under the age of 30.

2. Except for the actual Kentucky Derby, which draws in many casual fans, the Derby preps are watched mainly by serious fans/horseplayers and those  people are ensconced in the habit of "watching" racing via the internet where they also can bet on it at the same time through the various betting account websites. People are used to watching via their regular avenues-that being TVG, HRTV, a betting account video, or following via Twitter, and not on a Network.

 I love watching the races in high quality HD, which NBC Sports Network provides, but since I also bet on the Derby Prep races, I usually do what I normally do, that being, I use my I Pad or Laptop to log on to my NYRA Rewards betting account, place my bet and follow from there on the live video feed. Breaking habits for just a few weeks every year is not easy.

The Derby Prep TV ratings will continue to be a low number, especially with the growth of people actually following and watching the race on their Smartphone's, laptops, tablets, Twitter Feed and TVG/HRTV, and not on traditional network TV anymore.

Friday, April 12, 2013

Rainy Day Big A Quick Pick

With rain at the Big A I checked the PP's for any quick picks for some Friday Quick Cash.

My eyes have landed on Pumpkin Lane in a Race 8, a Six Furlong AOC race on the dirt for Fillies and Mares 3 year olds and up.

After 3 Allowance attempts last 3 times out finishing 4th, 5th and 4th,  at 1 mile each time she cuts back in distance.

Her last win was 4 races back on a Muddy Track at the Big A on Jan. 13th.

Her Trainer, Anthony Quartarolo, comes off a big win at Parx with 1st time colt Mewannarose winning at 11-1 this past Tuesday.

Look for Pumpkin Lane to be primed and worth a WPS bet at the morning line odds of 8-1

Friday, April 05, 2013

Wacking the Wood

Spring is here and so is the Wood Memorial. Always the highlight of the Big A Spring season for me, but due too the continued squalid conditions on the racing side of the racino, I'll watch on NBC and bet through my NYRA Rewards account. 

You can catch my complete analysis of the race over at the Thorofan site.

But long story short, I really like Elnaawi to finish in the money. I won't try to beat Verrazano as I see no reason why he would take a step back off his thus far perfect record. The distance won't be a problem and I think Pletcher has him tuned nicely for tomorrow.

 But Elnaawi was third at Aqueduct in the Grade II Gotham won by Vyjack, despite a rough trip. He gets a new jockey in Eddie Castro replacing Channing Hill. I like the tasty 12-1 odds and think this horse is an overlay if post time odds remain in that area.

Wednesday, April 03, 2013

On the Turf

Somehow we are now in April and the 1st quarter of 2013 comes to a close.

What is new? Looks like the same old, same old. A bunch of NY State Politicians get to do the Perp walk, and an early Pletcher Derby Hopeful falls off the trail.

Something new at least for 2013 is Turf racing in New York as 3 races are carded today at the Big A. If the weather cooperates and the races stay on the Turf, my eyes are on the 9th race, where a 16 horse field is entered.

Some horses are I am looking at for a nice score:

Suilleabhain at 6-1 ML has 4 prior starts on Turf. Retired at 8-1 ML is a half brother to 3 grass winners and has also been raced prior on the Turf.

Sayaprayerforme, 20-1 on Morning Line, gets the quick turnaround from Trainer Anthony Quartarolo after racing on dirt at the Big A on March 27th, finishing 9th in a Maiden Special Weight. This 3 year old gelding is out of the Dam Nan's Bay who is a daughter of the great turf racer Dynaformer.

If it stays on Turf and all 3 above stay in, lets try the three  in a Trifecta box

Friday, February 01, 2013

February Thoughts

It's February 2013? How did that happen? Oh well, here is what has happened since I last checked in.

Despite the changing of the guard at NYRA, on track deaths at Aqueduct are just about the same as last years rate.

Starting next week Aqueduct goes to a 4 day race week from the usual 5 to address safety issues and preserve a horse population that has dwindled, apparently at least in part due too more aggressive new drug rules that went into effect prior to this meet. For those holiday planners, no live card on Valentine's Day, so you will have to impress your date by taking her/him elsewhere.

Some highly regarded Pletcher horse goes in the Withers this Saturday at the Big A. You can check out my look at the race over at the Thorofan site.

Thursday, January 10, 2013

A piece of history at the Adelphi Hotel



We arrived at 9:00 am on Broadway in Saratoga and already there was a line extending outside the Adelphi Hotel, dozens and dozens of house lined up on the sidewalk. Luckily the temperatures were relatively mild, in the 30's with some sun peeking out. We waited patiently, hoping that when our turn came to enter into the Adelphi Hotel, there would still be some goodies for us to snag.

The new owners of the Adelphi Hotel had an estate sale, selling off about 30% of  its furniture and decorations before they begin the wholesale renovation of the hotel. The good news is that 70% of the furniture and decorations will be put back where they were once the renovations are completed. And even better news, the Adelphi will be open year round. No longer just a place to get an drink or slice of great pie during the summer Track season but a place to frequent all year round. Plans are to open this spring and than stay open year round.

Some of the best days of my life have consisted of going to the track, followed by a great dinner and than a stop into the Adelphi for an after dinner drink in the back garden.

I don't really need any furniture, my basement already packed with items I don't have a place for, but I was drawn to the sale, like the hundreds others who showed up this first day of the 4 day estate sale.

We waited patiently and upon entering were pleased to see it the items laid out in simple "tag sale" style with a simple price tag on the item. The more ornate dressers and table were already gone but we were not dismayed for we did not have to have any particular item, just something to remind of us the old great hotel on Broadway built in 1877.

We quickly decided on to grab one of the side chairs offered for $10. A simple timeless, classic wood chair, maybe 100 years old, and just perfect.

See you this summer at the Adelphi.

Wednesday, December 05, 2012

Big A Quick Pick

Still in Recovery mode for Superstorm Sandy with only an occasional eye on Racing.  However two races on Today's card at the Aqueduct seem worthy of dipping into my NYRA Rewards account for a try.

In Race 3, I will place a Win bet on Mordi's Miracle in a $67K Maiden Race for 3 year olds on the dirt going a mile. This Todd Pletcher Horse has been tough to handle in the Paddock and on the race course, but if he ever breaks well out of the gate today, maybe today is the day. Plus Pletcher doesn't seem to want to give up on this horse, so there must be something there. Watch the board, morning line odds are 6-1 on him.

In Race 8, FiftyFour Forever, (ML 5-2) a 3 year old filly trained by blog favorite Anthony Quartarolo,  runs back on just 5 days rest, having won here going 1 mile at the Big A on 11/29. She cuts back here in distance going 6 1/2 furlongs. She's a pure sprinter and prefers the shorter distances, so should have no problem with the short rest. Also like Villanesca (ML 6-1) cutting back in distance for Trainer K. McLaughlin and CatinaTree (ML 10-1) who figures to go out early with Fiftyfour Forever.  Try these 3 in a Trifecta Box.


Saturday, November 17, 2012

Came and Went

Well that was quick.

Seems like the Breeder's Cup came quickly and than left quickly, nary any lingering stories to debate  or talk about.Nothing too surprising of note to come out of the day. I have taken a liking to 2 year old undefeated  Shanghai Bobby, having seen him win up at the Spa this summer but we know how Pletcher 2 year old's do as 3 year old's of late.

 Of course, its' all relative and from my vantage being eyeballs deep in Superstorm Sandy insurance claims, the BC just wasn't all that important to me this year.

Seeing the devastation Mother Nature brought upon the Northeast, especially the New Jersey-New York metro area has been unbelievable. I have been through many storms but this one is the worst. The recovery will be long and painful.

If you want to help the best thing to do is donate money to a legitimate charity organization that can properly allocate your funds to the relief effort. May I suggest the Red Cross at   www.redcross.orghttp://www.redcross.org/ or if want a specific racing related charity you can donate to the New York Racetrack Chaplaincy at www.rtcany.orghttp://www.rtcany.org/.

Be well and have a great Thanksgiving.

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

Wednesday Quick Pick 3

At Belmont today, let's try the early Pick 3 (Races 1-3).

In Race 1, Colassal Gift (4-1) gets our money. Rick Dutrow, with latest appeal denied, keeps plowing forward. Colassal Gift has been knocking at the door, being on the board in 7 of 12 tries on the turf.

In Race 2, Fast Filly Fiftyfour Forever (3-1), raced gamely two weeks ago in the Dream Supreme Stakes going 7 furlongs and holding on for 3rd. With the cutback to 6 furlongs here and the main speed look for a wire to wire win.

In Race 3 Book Review (4-5) will get most of the money. Let's stay away from the short price and take a stab with Lady Cohiba (5-1). Also keep an eye on the board for Munnings Sister (8-1). She was 1st in the Dream Supreme Stakes (see above Race 2) and will stretch out here in the One 1/16 mile contest on the Dirt.

Pick 3 Races 1-3 : 2/3/1,3

Thursday, October 18, 2012

Thursday Quick Pick

The beautiful weather has awakened me from my blogging slumber of late.

In today's eight race at Belmont, let's place a wager on Mr. Algebra at 15-1 in this 8 horse field for 3 year olds and up going one mile on the Turf in a 25K claimer. After breaking his maiden 4 races back at the spa, Mr. A. treaded into deeper waters, failing to place in 3 straight allowance races. He now drops down and shortens up a bit in distance.

Look for most of the money to flow to the Pletcher entry Caption Webb and the Linda Rice horse English Major who Rice claimed from Pletcher last race back.

We love the drop down angle with Trainer Anthony Quartarolo, who loves to pick his spots and is sporting a a % of 50% at this fall Belmont meet.

Thursday, September 27, 2012

Artwork bid for NYRA



 The Times Union in NY Times fashion felt fit to have an above the fold front page story tweaking NYRA. This one is about an art mural commissioned by NYRA focusing on the last decade and featuring 100 racing figures including the recently ousted NYRA CEO Charlie Hayward.


Renowned racing artist Pierre Bellocg  known as "Peb," will recieve $250,000 for the artwork.

Seems the focus on Charlie Hayward in the piece is a little petty and piling on at this point. But should Emperor/Governor Cuomo squash the deal I hereby submit my artwork with a more modest quote of $25 (or best offer).

My piece is probably more crude and simple than Peb's piece. His took months while mine took about 3 minutes this afternoon while I was on a conference call. I chose a simple theme featuring the same 3 NYRA figures Peb had in his piece plus 2 horses. I was going to put in some jockeys and trainers but I that would have took longer than 3 minutes and I wanted to keep the fee at $25.

In addition I offer framed copies of the piece to the general public for a mere $50 plus shipping and handling fees of $9.95. If you act now you get 2 for the price of one (plus shipping and handling of course). If acceptable please contact me to make arrangements for payment. Paypal or cash orders only. 







Saturday, September 22, 2012

Latest NY Times Crusade against Racing



 Another article in the NY Times 2012 crusade against the game of Horse racing . This article  is titled "Racing Economics Collide with Vetenerian's Oath" with a subtitle of " Horse-racing veterinarians are both doctor and drugstore; the more drugs they prescribe, the more money they make"

Typical Doom and Gloom from Author Joe Drape and his Co-author Walter Bogdanich.

The article is lengthy, and the authors jump back and forth throughout the article talking about Thoroughbred's, Quarter Horses, and Standardbred's (Harness).

Do you think the laymen can get through this article, actually read the entire article, and differentiate between the 3 different type of racing?

We all desire a clean game and the best in animal welfare. The issue of the Vetenerian's role should be examined and no doubt a Vetenerian's financial greed sometimes takes over, with or without the Trainer's blessing or knowledge, but where in the NY Times article is the statement about the many caring vetenerian's working under the watching eyes of honorable Trainer's and Owner's?

Maybe include a look into the recent care of the ailing Paynter, owned by Zayat Stables. The public received almost daily Twitter updates about Paynter's medical condition, treatment, complications and expected progress from Twitter Accounts authored by @A.Zayat and @JustinZayat of Zayat Stables.

There is good in the sport, and bad, let's have a balanced look. Banish for life the cheaters and animal abusers and put a spotlight on the owners, trainers and Vets who are doing it right.

 


Sunday, September 02, 2012

Trying to get off the Duck


We all know Todd Pletcher has the Saratoga 2012 training title wrapped up with enough distance over runner up Chad Brown, but who is at the bottom of  the rankings.

Who has no wins with double digit starts at this meet? One Trainer trying to get shipping money and get off the Duck is William Badgett Jr.

Out of 25 starters he is sitting with a duck with no winners and only 2 seconds and 4 thirds for the meet.

If you  play your betting money figuring Badgett Jr. has to get a win before shipping day, you will have two shots today as he saddles NY Bred 8-1 shot U Whippersnapper in a 20K Maiden Claimer in Race 3 and His Own Beat a Kentucky Bred 3 year old going in a 65K Maiden Claimer at 15-1 in Race 4.

He has nobody running on Monday so today has to be the day for Badgett to get out of  Spa  Town with a win.

Already assured of a Duck at the meet is Barclay Tagg with 0 wins out of 24 Starters. He has no entries today or tomorrow.

Barclay swung for the fences yesterday with 4 entries and coming close with Sky Blazer 3rd in the Bernard Baruch and Jersey Town 3rd in the Forego Stakes.

Monday, August 27, 2012

Dead Heat Travers Reflections

Another Travers, another memorable race. I'll let others argue about the quality of the horses in the race, all  I can say I was among the 46,000 plus fans who witnessed the dead heat photo finish between Alpha and Golden Ticket.

Here's my reflections on this years Travers Stakes Day:

Alpha ended up being a pretty good bet. I know many prior to the race were bashing Alpha, but I felt the combo of Mclaughlin and Dominguez would be enough and publicly (on Thorofan's website) picked him as the winner. Yeah he was the favorite, but getting $4.10 back and doubling your money is not bad.

The betting day for me on the whole was a wash. I had a small win bet on Alpha, but missed all day on my exotics and the 3 pick 4's.

Made a bad audible call on leaving my Clubhouse seats to join friends at the Porch for table seating. We were at the far end of the porch, where the view of the track from our table was not all that good. Plus we got hit with the $18 "seating" fee which applies per person, not per table. My salad dish with 2 bottles of Bottled water cost me $50 not counting the tip (which the waiter expects to be calculated on the lunch and seating fee).

Next time I stick with my usual method of watching the races from my seats and grabbing lunch at the Shack Shack where I grab a Shake Burger and Beer for the more manageable $9 cost and mingle with friends at the Paddock Bar.

The post Travers fun included a fantastic dinner at The Wishing Well where I had Swordfish and for desert the classic creamy New York Style Cheeseake from the Nuns of New Skete followed by drinks downtown at the Adelphi and Sperry's.


So there you have it, another year older for all of us, another Travers Stakes in the books. They are unique, all so different, and this one will be etched in my memory bank forever.

Thursday, August 23, 2012

When is Dead not Dead??


 If your listed as dead, does that mean you are really dead? No, not if the New York State Racing and Wagering Board lists you as Dead.

For the second time in 3 months the New York State Racing and Wagering Board listed a horse on their Equine Breakdown, Death, Injury and Incident Database as an "Equine Death" when in fact the horse was alive.

On Wednesday in the 8th race at Saratoga Race Course, a horse,  Bluember, fell just short of the finish line while racing, throwing Ramon Dominguez to the ground. Another horse, Money in Motion, was injured while he tried to avoid the spill. It looked bad and that evening I checked the Racing and Wagering Board website and found both horses listed as dead.

I questioned the Money in Motion death on Twitter Thursday morning as I thought it was strange no one in the Media reported the death.  Later that day Intrepid writer/reporter/blogger Teresa Genaro confirmed on Twitter that indeed Money in Motion was actually alive and well,  and not dead as reported by the State Racing and Wagering Board.

This same error happened in June when Giant Ryan was injured racing at Belmont Park. Giant Ryan was listed that evening as an "Equine Death" on the website only to later be declared alive and well. That time the Board chalked it up to "basic human error". After that Screw up Board Spokesperson Lee Park reported to Teresa Genaro on her blog (www.brooklynbackstretch.com) that:
 “As of this morning we are implementing internal controls to ensure that a second set of eyes sees the information before it is formally published."
Perhaps New York State now needs to hire a 3rd person (complete with union wages and a generous benefit plan) to become involved in the quality control.
 
Personally I think racing deaths and injuries should be reported and listed on the New York Racing Association website (www.nyra.com). How many people are even aware of the Racing and Wagering Board website? Let's be transparent like the NFL where a detailed injury list for every team is reported daily and easily accessible in most daily newspapers and on the NFL website. Accurate, Accountable and Transparent, is that too much to ask?

Sunday, August 19, 2012

Saratoga Sunday Quick Picks

Since this blind Squirrel found two nuts yesterday with my picks, let's keep this party going.

In the 9th Race at the Spa, a 65K Optional Claimer for fillies & Mare going 7 furlongs on the dirt, we have a field of 11. This type of race is what makes the Spa great, a large field with some juicy morning line odds.

Fiftyfour Forever, at 8-1 Morning line odds presents tremendous valve. I would expect her post time odds to be like 4-1 or 5-1 but if her odds stay up anywhere near 8-1 she is a must use in your exotics. Blog Favorite Trainer Anthony Quartarolo is hot with 2 wins from his last 2 starts including yesterday's Nelson Avenue win.

Ode to Sami at 3-1 figures to benefit from the jockey change from Rosie Napravnik to Javier Castellano. Speaking of Jockey changes Royal Sighting, 6-1 ML odds, gets an upgrade with Ramon Dominquez on board for the first time. Be sure to watch the odds board late on this one including looking at Princess Mara, who cuts back in distance and returns to dirt for trainer Dale Romans. Playing with these four horses in your Trifecta's and exacta's could result in some nice payouts.

Friday, August 17, 2012

Saturday Alabama Day Quick Picks

Surprisingly with more than half the meet done, I'm actually $5 in the black this meet, according to the historical wagers tab of my NYRA Rewards account. So, let give out some picks.

In the 5th , a Maiden 65K on the inner Turf at the Spa, you should get a square price on Nelson Avenue whose morning line odds are 6-1. In his last just 10 days ago in a similar 65K, Nelson Avenue placed 3rd at 26-1 odds, part of a $1900+ trifecta. Trained by former Meadowlands Harness Trainer/Driver Anthony Quartarolo, who's had a decent meet with 5 horses in the money out of 8 starters. Quartarolo comes off of a nice win with his last starter, Mr. Algebra, who broke his maiden on Wednesday at 11-1 odds.

In the Alabama, Grace Hall may be much the best but won't get my money at 7-5 morning line odds. My call is on Questing. Coming off a impressive win at the Spa in the CCA Oaks on the first Saturday of the meet at 1 1/8 miles looks like Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin has her primed and ready to take a step up at 1 1/4 miles. If her jock can control the drifting out she did last out, Questing seems the valve play.

Should be a great day, let's hope the showers get out in time and sun prevails.

Monday, August 13, 2012

Half Way Observations at Saratoga



Day 22 of this 40 Day Saratoga meet is now complete.

Here are my mid meet observations and thoughts:

All Sources Handle is up 6.5 % over last year.  I think this year the cards at Delmar have seemed pretty weak, and I think the money has flowed towards Saratoga in kind.

On Track Handle is slightly down when compared to last year at 0.8%. There have been a few brutally hot days so far and a couple of crummy rain days including this past Saturday.

Wagering is slightly up (0.8%) at the Belmont Cafe and Aqueduct Simulcast center.

Long Card equals Long Day.

I love movies, I just don't love them as much when they go over 2 hours, and I don't like race days with 11 and 12 races. It's just too long for the average fan to stay and bet. Saturday was particularly brutal with the feature race, The Fourstardave Handicap, not going off till 6:45, almost 6 hours after the first race. I had to vacate the premises before that race for obligations at home, and I wasn't the only one as a steady stream of patrons walked out with me. 

Especially with the increase in betting at home via the computer, NYRA really has to quicken up these cards to keep attendance up. Yes I know Saratoga is a treasure but I can treasure it in 5 hours and don't need 6.

The food options have been great this year at the Track with the addition of Bettie's Cakes (pretty good), Poutines at Shirley's Restaurant (very good) and a Beer Garden near the Carousel.

My personal favorites remain the Shake Shack, the relocated Hattie's and the Paddock Bar (officially titled "The Bar at the Post").  This 3 year old bar is so popular its' hard to remember it not being there.

All in all, it's Saratoga so despite the long race days it's Saratoga.